The Bucs have a bend, but don't break defense. They are 29th in the league in yards allowed/drive. But they've held offenses to 12 TDs vs 14 FGs. And the Bucs defense leads the league in % of drives ending in turnovers, 19.2%. They also lead the lead in lowest red zone percentage at 27.3%. The Texans have to play smart on offense. And they have thus far, leading the league in lowest % of drives ending in turnovers, 5.3%.
As you said, the Bucs still have good WRs in Evans and Godwin. But this season's Mayfield doesn't like to hold on to the ball, with an average completion of 10.3 yards/reception. The Bucs rushing attack is almost non-existent. Still, RB Rachaad White is a threat as a receiver out of the backfield. And that has been a problem for the Texans defense recently, giving up an average of 52.4 receiving yards to RBs over the past 5 games.
In another tight, low scoring game, I like the Texans 19-17 over the Bucs.